Nigeria

African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA)-Potential Welfare Effects and Impacts on Nigerian Farmers

The African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) is a platform created to increase intra-trade and ease movement of persons and goods across borders within Africa as well as promote economic welfare and wellbeing of member states. Nigeria being a …

The rapid transformation of the fish value chain in Nigeria: evidence from Niger State / Policy Research Paper 112

This study presents the results from a meso-inventory with a recall over 10 years of numbers of actors of different size strata in the fish value chain segments in Niger State, Northern Nigeria. It was conducted between March and July 2018. We …

Update on COVID-19 visuals for Nigeria

It is now 381 days since the first COVID-19 case was reported in Nigeria. As at March 15, 2021 the confirmed cases are 163,646 with 2,016 (1.25%) fatalities, however, 145,752 (90.59%) have recovered. Based on equal days forecast, by March 31, 2022, Nigeria’s aggregate confirmed COVID-19 cases are forecast to be: Model Confirmed cases Recoveries Fatalities RMSE Smooth Spline 889,385 805,694 11,117 371 Upper ARIMA 805,328 729,547 10,067 209 Quadratic Polynomial 598,274 541,977 7,478 374 Essembled based on summed weight -70,387 -63,763 -880 185 Essembled based on weight of fit -94,320 -85,444 -1,179 284 Essembled based on weight -182,959 -165,743 -2,287 180 Essembled with equal weight -426,038 -385,948 -5,325 232 Lower ARIMA -626,365 -567,424 -7,830 209 Without knots -815,453 -738,719 -10,193 200 With knots -1,114,856 -1,009,948 -13,936 187 Take a further look at some of the visuals