COVID-19

Update on COVID-19 visuals for Nigeria

It is now 381 days since the first COVID-19 case was reported in Nigeria. As at March 15, 2021 the confirmed cases are 163,646 with 2,016 (1.25%) fatalities, however, 145,752 (90.59%) have recovered. Based on equal days forecast, by March 31, 2022, Nigeria’s aggregate confirmed COVID-19 cases are forecast to be: Model Confirmed cases Recoveries Fatalities RMSE Smooth Spline 889,385 805,694 11,117 371 Upper ARIMA 805,328 729,547 10,067 209 Quadratic Polynomial 598,274 541,977 7,478 374 Essembled based on summed weight -70,387 -63,763 -880 185 Essembled based on weight of fit -94,320 -85,444 -1,179 284 Essembled based on weight -182,959 -165,743 -2,287 180 Essembled with equal weight -426,038 -385,948 -5,325 232 Lower ARIMA -626,365 -567,424 -7,830 209 Without knots -815,453 -738,719 -10,193 200 With knots -1,114,856 -1,009,948 -13,936 187 Take a further look at some of the visuals